Josephus sequence · eclipse windows · infancy constraints · regnal dependencies
Herod Chronology Laboratory
Compare the conventional 4 BCE and minority 1 BCE reconstructions with exact intervals, model dependencies, infancy-event propagation, evidence direction, and formal temporal diagnosis. No aggregate score is treated as historical probability.
Integrated diagnosis
Overview
The selected birth model, death interval, and narrative sequence are evaluated together.
Formal findings
Exact calendrical space
Eclipse-to-Passover intervals
The duration between the candidate eclipse and Passover is shown separately from arguments about whether Josephus’s intervening events fit.
Interval comparison
Direction without score aggregation
Evidence and dependency ledger
Each row preserves the distinct 4 BCE and 1 BCE arguments, its evidence type, project evaluation, and source chain.
Infancy-event propagation
Birth, Magi, flight, death, and return
The candidate birth date and delay range generate explicit teaching windows. Derived dates are not direct historical attestations.
Sequence diagnosis
V14.2 sensitivity
Birth-model comparison
Five birth models are compared against their own Herod assumptions and against the interval currently selected above.
| Birth model | Precision | Own Herod premise | Own diagnosis | Selected interval | Principal dependency |
|---|
Reproducibility
Methods and export
Method
- Read V14.2’s exact eclipse-to-Passover windows in astronomical year numbering.
- Declare the selected birth and Herod propositions in the V15.2 four-state engine.
- Propagate Magi, flight, death, and return windows without presenting derived dates as direct evidence.
- Keep Josephus sequence, regnal reckoning, coinage, eclipse visibility, and infancy dependencies distinct.
- Report contradiction, model incompatibility, tension, and underdetermination separately.