{
  "version": "44.2.0",
  "generated": "2026-09-23",
  "methodNote": "Ceramic evidence is strongest when typology, quantified assemblages, seriation, stratigraphy, provenance and absolute dating are kept distinct and then integrated. Phase-linked signals below are added only where the current source corpus supports the link; an unencoded cell is not an archaeological absence.",
  "phaseSignals": [
    {
      "id": "ash-p21-egyptian",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p21",
      "profileId": "lb-iron-transition",
      "familyId": "egyptian-egyptian-style",
      "label": "Egyptian / Egyptian-style ceramics",
      "state": "substantial component",
      "trend": "characteristic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "The final Late Bronze phase has a substantial Egyptian/Egyptian-style ceramic component and precedes the first Philistine horizon.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p21-monochrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p21",
      "profileId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "label": "Philistine Monochrome / Mycenaean IIIC-derived repertoire",
      "state": "not yet in modeled sequence",
      "trend": "pre-appearance",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Phase 21 precedes the first Philistine horizon in the modeled Grid 38 sequence.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-monochrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p20-monochrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p20",
      "profileId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "label": "Philistine Monochrome / Mycenaean IIIC-derived repertoire",
      "state": "first modeled horizon",
      "trend": "appears",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "The new Phase 20 architectural scheme contains early Philistine Monochrome/Mycenaean IIIC-derived pottery.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-monochrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p20-bichrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p20",
      "profileId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine Bichrome",
      "state": "not yet dominant",
      "trend": "pre-appearance",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Phase 20 has no Bichrome-dominated assemblage yet.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-bichrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p19-monochrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p19",
      "profileId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-monochrome",
      "label": "Philistine Monochrome / Mycenaean IIIC-derived repertoire",
      "state": "continues",
      "trend": "persists",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Monochrome remains present in Phase 19 alongside the newly appearing Bichrome repertoire.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-monochrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p19-bichrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p19",
      "profileId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine Bichrome",
      "state": "emerging",
      "trend": "appears",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Philistine Bichrome appears alongside Monochrome in Phase 19.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-bichrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p18-bichrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p18",
      "profileId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine Bichrome",
      "state": "characteristic",
      "trend": "increases",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Bichrome remains characteristic within the continuing Iron I sequence in Phase 18.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-bichrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p17-bichrome",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p17",
      "profileId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine Bichrome",
      "state": "late continuation",
      "trend": "persists",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Late Philistine Bichrome remains in the youngest modeled phase.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1",
        "phil-bichrome-lcp"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ash-p17-local",
      "siteId": "ashkelon",
      "sequenceId": "ashkelon-grid38-lb-iron1",
      "phaseId": "ashkelon-g38-p17",
      "profileId": "lb-iron-transition",
      "familyId": "localized-canaanite-practices",
      "label": "Localized Canaanite ceramic practices",
      "state": "increasing",
      "trend": "increases",
      "confidence": "moderate-high",
      "evidence": "Phase 17 is characterized by increasing localized Canaanite practices alongside late Philistine Bichrome.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ashkelon-iron1"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "gezer-11-philistine2",
      "siteId": "gezer",
      "sequenceId": "gezer-tandy-sequence",
      "phaseId": "gezer-tandy-11",
      "profileId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine 2 / Bichrome-related pottery",
      "state": "appears",
      "trend": "appears",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "The published Tandy sequence explicitly places the appearance of Philistine 2 pottery in Stratum 11; characteristic Philistine pottery makes up 5% of the relevant pottery assemblage in Fields VI and the Tandy excavation.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "gezer-2023"
      ],
      "quantified": {
        "value": 5.0,
        "unit": "percent",
        "label": "5% of relevant pottery assemblage",
        "denominator": "relevant pottery assemblage",
        "seriesId": "gezer-stratum-xiii-philistine-anchor"
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "rehov-vi-local",
      "siteId": "tel-rehov",
      "sequenceId": "tel-rehov-iron",
      "phaseId": "rehov-vi",
      "profileId": "tel-rehov-iron-iia-assemblages",
      "familyId": "rehov-iron-iia-local",
      "label": "Tel Reḥov Iron IIA local assemblage",
      "state": "earlier variant",
      "trend": "phase-shift",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Stratum VI belongs to Iron IIA but differs in ceramic details from the later V–IV assemblages.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "rehov-pottery-vol4-2020",
        "rehov-radiocarbon-ladder-2005"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "rehov-v-local",
      "siteId": "tel-rehov",
      "sequenceId": "tel-rehov-iron",
      "phaseId": "rehov-v",
      "profileId": "tel-rehov-iron-iia-assemblages",
      "familyId": "rehov-iron-iia-local",
      "label": "Tel Reḥov Iron IIA local assemblage",
      "state": "rich later assemblage",
      "trend": "phase-shift",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Stratum V preserves a rich late Iron IIA assemblage closely related to Stratum IV.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "rehov-pottery-vol4-2020",
        "rehov-radiocarbon-ladder-2005"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "rehov-iv-local",
      "siteId": "tel-rehov",
      "sequenceId": "tel-rehov-iron",
      "phaseId": "rehov-iv",
      "profileId": "tel-rehov-iron-iia-assemblages",
      "familyId": "rehov-iron-iia-local",
      "label": "Tel Reḥov Iron IIA local assemblage",
      "state": "closely related to V",
      "trend": "persists",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Stratum IV continues an assemblage closely related to Stratum V within the radiocarbon-linked Iron IIA ladder.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "rehov-pottery-vol4-2020",
        "rehov-radiocarbon-ladder-2005"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "hazor-1b-miniature",
      "siteId": "hazor",
      "sequenceId": "hazor-lower-city-h",
      "phaseId": "hazor-lower-h-1b",
      "profileId": "hazor-lower-city-h-lbii",
      "familyId": "hazor-miniature-vessels",
      "label": "Miniature vessels",
      "state": "clustered in drainage context",
      "trend": "phase-diagnostic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Miniature vessels cluster in the Stratum 1B drainage-channel context near the temple approach.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "hazor-lower-city-2026"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "hazor-1b-lbii",
      "siteId": "hazor",
      "sequenceId": "hazor-lower-city-h",
      "phaseId": "hazor-lower-h-1b",
      "profileId": "hazor-lower-city-h-lbii",
      "familyId": "hazor-lbii-assemblage",
      "label": "Area H Late Bronze II assemblage family",
      "state": "present",
      "trend": "persists",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Bowls, kraters, cooking pots, pithoi, juglets, lamps, chalice fragments and miniature vessels occur in the Area H LB II sequence.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "hazor-lower-city-2026"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "hazor-1a-lbii",
      "siteId": "hazor",
      "sequenceId": "hazor-lower-city-h",
      "phaseId": "hazor-lower-h-1a",
      "profileId": "hazor-lower-city-h-lbii",
      "familyId": "hazor-lbii-assemblage",
      "label": "Area H Late Bronze II assemblage family",
      "state": "closely similar continuation",
      "trend": "persists",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "The latest Area H phase preserves later pottery clusters and living surfaces, but ceramic similarity with 1B limits typological phase separation.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "hazor-lower-city-2026"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "jericho-va-white-slip",
      "siteId": "jericho",
      "sequenceId": "jericho-area-gh-spring-hill",
      "phaseId": "jericho-gh-va",
      "profileId": "jericho-area-g-late-bronze",
      "familyId": "white-slip-ii",
      "label": "Cypriot White Slip II",
      "state": "diagnostic import present",
      "trend": "phase-diagnostic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "A White Slip II milk-bowl fragment occurs in the Middle Building horizon and supports a fifteenth-century BCE placement.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "nigro-yasine-jericho-2024"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "jericho-va-local-bowls",
      "siteId": "jericho",
      "sequenceId": "jericho-area-gh-spring-hill",
      "phaseId": "jericho-gh-va",
      "profileId": "jericho-area-g-late-bronze",
      "familyId": "jericho-local-bowls",
      "label": "Local carinated / pointed-bowl forms",
      "state": "present",
      "trend": "phase-diagnostic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Two carinated bowls and a pointed-bowl handle accompany the imported White Slip II fragment in the local Middle Building assemblage.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "nigro-yasine-jericho-2024"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "aphek-x12-egyptian",
      "siteId": "aphek",
      "sequenceId": "aphek-area-x",
      "phaseId": "aphek-x12",
      "profileId": "aphek-palace-vi-transition-pottery",
      "familyId": "egyptian-egyptian-style",
      "label": "Egyptian ceramic tradition",
      "state": "present in sealed palace assemblage",
      "trend": "characteristic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Egyptian and local Canaanite wares occur together in the Palace VI assemblage sealed by the late-13th-century destruction.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "aphek-antipatris-ii-2009"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "aphek-x12-canaanite",
      "siteId": "aphek",
      "sequenceId": "aphek-area-x",
      "phaseId": "aphek-x12",
      "profileId": "aphek-palace-vi-transition-pottery",
      "familyId": "local-canaanite",
      "label": "Local Canaanite wares",
      "state": "present in sealed palace assemblage",
      "trend": "characteristic",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "Local Canaanite wares occur together with Egyptian pottery in the sealed Palace VI destruction assemblage.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "aphek-antipatris-ii-2009"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "aphek-x10-philistine",
      "siteId": "aphek",
      "sequenceId": "aphek-area-x",
      "phaseId": "aphek-x10",
      "profileId": "aphek-palace-vi-transition-pottery",
      "familyId": "philistine-associated",
      "label": "Philistine-associated pottery",
      "state": "present",
      "trend": "appears",
      "confidence": "high",
      "evidence": "The succeeding Iron I X10 sequence contains Philistine-associated pottery after the Palace VI destruction and leveling.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "aphek-antipatris-ii-2009"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ekron-viib-phil1",
      "siteId": "tel-miqne-ekron",
      "sequenceId": "ekron-acropolis",
      "phaseId": "ekron-viib",
      "profileId": "ekron-iron-i-philistine-ceramic-sequence",
      "familyId": "philistine-1-mycenaean-iiic",
      "label": "Philistine 1 / Mycenaean IIIC:1 repertoire",
      "state": "dominant in earliest Iron I repertoire",
      "trend": "appears",
      "confidence": "moderate-high; broad Stratum VII → VIIB phase alignment",
      "evidence": "The ceramic profile places Philistine 1 / Mycenaean IIIC:1 as the dominant earliest Iron I repertoire; the modeled VIIB phase is the earliest Philistine-city horizon in this project sequence.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ekron-field-iv-iron-i-final-2016",
        "ekron-philistine-ceramics-2004"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ekron-via-vb-phil1",
      "siteId": "tel-miqne-ekron",
      "sequenceId": "ekron-acropolis",
      "phaseId": "ekron-via-vb",
      "profileId": "ekron-iron-i-philistine-ceramic-sequence",
      "familyId": "philistine-1-mycenaean-iiic",
      "label": "Philistine 1 / Mycenaean IIIC:1 repertoire",
      "state": "declining / being replaced",
      "trend": "decreases",
      "confidence": "moderate-high; broad later-Iron-I phase alignment",
      "evidence": "The source synthesis describes the earlier Philistine 1 repertoire as gradually replaced by Philistine 2 / Bichrome through the later Iron I sequence.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ekron-field-iv-iron-i-final-2016",
        "ekron-philistine-ceramics-2004"
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": "ekron-via-vb-phil2",
      "siteId": "tel-miqne-ekron",
      "sequenceId": "ekron-acropolis",
      "phaseId": "ekron-via-vb",
      "profileId": "ekron-iron-i-philistine-ceramic-sequence",
      "familyId": "philistine-bichrome",
      "label": "Philistine 2 / Bichrome repertoire",
      "state": "increasing / replacing earlier repertoire",
      "trend": "increases",
      "confidence": "moderate-high; broad later-Iron-I phase alignment",
      "evidence": "Philistine 2 / Bichrome traditions replace the earlier Philistine 1 repertoire through the later Iron I phases.",
      "sourceIds": [
        "ekron-field-iv-iron-i-final-2016",
        "ekron-philistine-ceramics-2004"
      ]
    }
  ],
  "presets": [
    {
      "id": "ashkelon-transition",
      "label": "Ashkelon LB → Iron I",
      "phaseIds": [
        "ashkelon-g38-p21",
        "ashkelon-g38-p20",
        "ashkelon-g38-p19"
      ],
      "note": "Shows Egyptian/Egyptian-style pottery giving way to the first Monochrome horizon and then emerging Bichrome."
    },
    {
      "id": "ashkelon-bichrome-rise",
      "label": "Ashkelon Bichrome development",
      "phaseIds": [
        "ashkelon-g38-p20",
        "ashkelon-g38-p19",
        "ashkelon-g38-p18"
      ],
      "note": "Shows the transition from no Bichrome-dominated assemblage to appearance and then characteristic Bichrome."
    },
    {
      "id": "rehov-iia",
      "label": "Tel Reḥov VI → V → IV",
      "phaseIds": [
        "rehov-vi",
        "rehov-v",
        "rehov-iv"
      ],
      "note": "A radiocarbon-linked qualitative ceramic ladder within Iron IIA."
    },
    {
      "id": "cross-site-philistine",
      "label": "Philistine-related cross-site check",
      "phaseIds": [
        "ashkelon-g38-p20",
        "gezer-tandy-11",
        "aphek-x10"
      ],
      "note": "Compares local appearances across three sites; it is not a universal synchronism."
    },
    {
      "id": "ekron-replacement",
      "label": "Ekron Philistine 1 → 2 replacement",
      "phaseIds": [
        "ekron-viib",
        "ekron-via-vb"
      ],
      "note": "Shows the source-described decline/replacement of Philistine 1 by Philistine 2/Bichrome across the broad modeled Iron I phases."
    }
  ],
  "stateVocabulary": [
    {
      "id": "pre-appearance",
      "meaning": "The linked sequence explicitly places this phase before the modeled appearance or before dominance of the family."
    },
    {
      "id": "appears",
      "meaning": "The source-controlled sequence explicitly records first/early appearance in the linked phase."
    },
    {
      "id": "persists",
      "meaning": "The family continues into the linked phase; this does not imply unchanged frequency."
    },
    {
      "id": "increases",
      "meaning": "The source description explicitly indicates greater prominence or a shift toward this family/practice."
    },
    {
      "id": "phase-shift",
      "meaning": "Assemblage character changes between adjacent phases, but the project has not encoded a numeric frequency delta."
    },
    {
      "id": "phase-diagnostic",
      "meaning": "The form/ware is useful for discriminating or dating the linked local context."
    },
    {
      "id": "characteristic",
      "meaning": "The family is a substantial or characteristic component, without inventing a percentage."
    },
    {
      "id": "decreases",
      "meaning": "The source description explicitly indicates reduced prominence or replacement through the linked sequence; no numeric percentage is implied."
    }
  ]
}
